If you are sitting right now and expect that the situation with the supply of video cards will improve in a couple of months, then it’s better not to count on it. AMD previously announced that it expects supplies to stabilize by July this year, but analysts say this forecast is unrealistic.
Deficits and inflated prices can stretch right up to 2022.
Today we are in a situation where several factors have coincided, leading partly to a natural, partly to an artificial shortage of video cards. On the one hand, cryptominers are aggressively buying up all GPUs that can be found at affordable prices. On the other hand, speculators have taken the fashion to use bots and other systems in order to place hundreds and thousands of orders in a matter of seconds in order to resell at inflated prices, since they have the opportunity to sit on boxes until desperate gamers come for them, or from another group miners will not want to expand. At the same time, GPU factories cannot just ramp up chip production.
According to analyst Harlan Sura of JP Morgan, today demand is 10-30% higher than the supply of graphics cards, and it will take up to 12 months to increase production capacity even by this value. After that, it takes another three to six months to deliver the hardware to retailers. Thus, even if the increase in capacity began in October-November 2020, it will not be possible to satisfy demand until January 2022.
As reported by Hardware Times , in the South Asian region, the supply of NVIDIA RTX 3080 video cards is only about 20 pieces per country. China received only 100 models last month. But miners and people with connections take them apart first.
Most likely, the RTX 3060 and RX 6700 XT graphics cards will not be able to improve the environment. If it hadn’t been for another wave of crypto madness, everything would have been much better.